Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.007384 0.008669 0.010205 0.012206 0.014786 0.018064 0.022648
2025-04-06 0.005605 0.007085 0.009055 0.011961 0.016316 0.022924 0.034459
2025-04-13 0.004783 0.006353 0.008605 0.012245 0.018378 0.029198 0.052492
2025-04-20 0.004335 0.005997 0.008531 0.012969 0.021296 0.038358 0.084692
2025-04-27 0.003951 0.005644 0.008357 0.013431 0.023898 0.048574 0.134225
2025-05-04 0.003573 0.005229 0.007984 0.013415 0.025521 0.057794 0.200518
2025-05-11 0.003268 0.004881 0.007656 0.013384 0.027097 0.068303 0.306383
2025-05-18 0.002976 0.004516 0.007233 0.013052 0.027817 0.077010 0.446509
2025-05-25 0.002691 0.004130 0.006715 0.012401 0.027467 0.081862 0.596027
2025-06-01 0.002468 0.003829 0.006317 0.011933 0.027477 0.088478 0.843496
2025-06-08 0.002351 0.003703 0.006239 0.012184 0.029736 0.108269 1.723712
2025-06-15 0.002217 0.003534 0.006052 0.012133 0.031049 0.125761 3.528572
2025-06-22 0.002038 0.003280 0.005691 0.011659 0.031057 0.138337 7.495394
2025-06-29 0.001899 0.003089 0.005442 0.011435 0.031969 0.160754 29.898108
2025-07-06 0.001814 0.002993 0.005382 0.011702 0.034989 0.211034 35828.224733
2025-07-13 0.001767 0.002965 0.005461 0.012381 0.040333 0.315243 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001706 0.002902 0.005455 0.012815 0.045054 0.457505 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001624 0.002788 0.005313 0.012800 0.047575 0.598142 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001548 0.002682 0.005177 0.012771 0.050107 0.793176 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001465 0.002552 0.004970 0.012459 0.050773 0.959392 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001373 0.002399 0.004690 0.011848 0.049165 1.016342 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001297 0.002274 0.004471 0.011409 0.048510 1.138265 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001260 0.002229 0.004444 0.011644 0.052848 1.810582 NaN